Service Plays Thursday 3/3/11

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

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Thank you, wilheim




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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pick 'n' roll:

Thursday's best basketball bets

NBA

Denver Nuggets at Utah Jazz (-3.5, 210)

Both the Nuggets and Jazz have undergone major changes over the last couple of weeks, though that's about the only thing the two clubs have in common.

The Jazz have won just once over their first seven games under Tyrone Corbin since Jerry Sloan rode off into the sunset, covering just twice over that span. Plus, the club is now trying to adjust after superstar point guard Deron Williams was shipped to New Jersey, leaving the reins to Devin Harris.

"Despite the fact we're losing games, we're playing way better basketball right now,” forward Andrei Kirilenko told reporters. “We basically started from scratch. We lost coach [Jerry Sloan] first, we lost Deron. Right now, we start building again. So we're playing better, but we're not happy with the result."

Of course, Denver knows all about that following its facelift. The difference is George Karl is getting the most out of versatile lineup. The Nuggets head into this one playing the second of a back-to-back, but the more this club team plays right now, the quicker it will come together.

Pick: Denver

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

College Funds

NCAAB

St. John’s Red Storm at Seton Hall Pirates (2, 129)

St. John’s has made a habit of putting Top 25 teams to shame all year and now has an opportunity to earn a double-bye in next weekend’s Big East Tournament with two wins to close out the regular season.

And considering the Red Storm’s track record so far this year, you have to like their chances against the Pirates and then home to South Florida on Saturday. That said, they aren’t taking these last two tests lightly.

"These games are actually harder," St. John's senior forward Justin Burrell said. "You see when a team that, for the lack of a better word, is supposed to win the game, those games are sometimes close, because teams overlook them, or don't come out with the same intensity. So we're paying attention, focusing in on Seton Hall and making sure we go out and get a victory."

The Red Storm will be up against history on Thursday – they haven’t won at Seton Hall in 13 years. Still, St. John’s is a class above the Pirates and has too much motivation to slip up now.

Pick: St. John’s

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ice picks:

Thursday's best NHL bets

Ottawa Senators at Atlanta Thrashers (-180, 5.5)

The Ottawa Senators are already looking to the future with this season lost long ago and many staples of the club now playing in other cities following the trade deadline. But the worst may be over for Senators bettors – if there are any out there.

Craig Anderson had his fair share of troubles while he was with the Avalanche earlier this year, though he seems to be benefiting from a change of scenery. Anderson is working on a .963 save percentage since joining the Senators and the club is playing a lot hungrier now that it is leaning on its youth.

Anderson faced just 21 shots in a 1-0 loss to Boston on Tuesday, the fewest shots the team has allowed in seven games. The Sens will need a similar effort against a Thrashers club that is averaging more than 40 shots over its last five games, but Atlanta is a total mess right now having won just twice over its last 12 games.

At this price it’s worth a shot on the Sens.

Pick: Ottawa

Phoenix Coyotes at Los Angeles Kings (-165, 5.5)

The Coyotes’ eight-game winning streak is nothing but a distant memory. The club has dropped four straight contests and all of a sudden its defense has fallen apart.

Phoenix struggles offensively at the best of times, but look out when its defense starts falling apart. The Coyotes are allowing five goals per game over their current slide and look completely lost in their own end with defensive zone assignments.

They were a little better Tuesday night against the Stars – at least until the final minute. A late Phoenix penalty led to a Jamie Benn goal with about four ticks left in regulation to send Coyotes bettors home empty handed again.

"We've got to look at it right in the teeth and say what's going on," Phoenix coach Dave Tippett told reporters following the loss. "That's two games this week we've lost because of penalties. At some point, we've got to get it and we'll look it straight in the face and take the challenge. We better or it's not a good thing."

Meanwhile, the Kings were just pumped 7-4 by the Red Wings, so they’ll be looking to tighten up defensively too.

Pick: Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Double dribble: NBA TNT doubleheader preview


Orlando Magic at Miami Heat (-5, 198)

Orlando will be looking to even up the season series with Miami when the two Eastern Conference giants meet for the fourth and final time Thursday night.

Appropriately, they have traded blows up to this point. For one of their few early-season highlights, the Heat humiliated the Magic 96-70 as 4-point home favorites on October 29. Less than a month later, on November 24, Orlando got the best of Miami 104-95, also as a 4-point favorite.

The ball bounced back in the Heat’s favor on February 3, when they went on the road as 1-point underdogs and picked up an impressive 104-100 win. Miami nearly blew a massive fourth-quarter lead, but LeBron James’ 51 points (not to mention 11 rebounds and eight assists) proved to be enough.

Full Nelson

The Heat have done well to contain (relatively speaking) Dwight Howard, whose 20 ppg in three games is well under his 23.2 season average. Howard is averaging 13.7 rebounds against Miami (just about at his season average) and only 0.7 blocks (a far cry from his 2.2. average).

Jameer Nelson, though, often does some of his best work at the Heat’s expense. Nelson averaged 16.3 points, seven assists and four rebounds in the previous three tilts.

He has posted double figures in five straight outings and is coming off one of his best games of the season. On Tuesday, Nelson scored a season-high 26 points, including 23 in the second half and 14 in the fourth quarter, to give Orlando (39-22, 28-32-1 ATS) a big 116-110 home win over New York.

“Jameer takes us to another level,” teammate J.J. Redick told the Orlando Sentinel afterward.

Heating problem

The Heat (43-17, 29-30-1 ATS) need to take it to another level if they want to have any shot at doing damage in the playoffs. They own a respectable record, especially compared to earlier in the season, but continue to be woeful against good teams.

Just take the last 11 games, for example. In that span, Miami beat the Bobcats, Clippers, Pacers (twice), Pistons, Raptors and Wizards. The team lost to the Celtics, Bulls, and most recently 91-86 at home to the Knicks Sunday.

Sense a pattern? And the bad news for the Heat is that their next 10 games come against teams that are at least six games over .500.

Trending topics

The Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last five overall and 0-4 ATS in their last four against the Eastern Conference.

The under is 9-2 in the Magic’s last 11 overall and 5-1 in their last six against the Eastern Conference.

Head-to-head, the favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last four meetings. The over is 7-3 in the last 10 encounters.

Denver Nuggets at Utah Jazz (-3.5, 210)

It will be a much different game from their previous two meetings this season when the Nuggets visit the Jazz Thursday night. Gone, of course, are respective stars Carmelo Anthony (now with New York) and Deron Williams (now with New Jersey).

The head-to-head series is split 1-1 following a pair of tilts in Denver. The Nuggets and Jazz opened the 2010-11 campaign against each other on October 27, with Denver dominating 110-88 and obliterating the 3.5-point spread. Utah, though, got revenge in the form of a 113-106 win on February 4. The visitors laughed at being 9-point underdogs, covering by a healthy 16 points.

The Nuggets (35-26, 28-30-3 ATS) will be coming off a Wednesday night home game against Charlotte when they head to Utah. Denver is a mediocre 7-8 (6-9 ATS) in the second of back-to-back contests so far this season.

Jazz feeling the blues

First the Jazz (32-29, 26-34-1 ATS) lost the longest-tenured coach in the NBA when Jerry Sloan resigned last month. Then star point guard Deron Williams was shipped off to New Jersey just before the trade deadline.

Not coincidentally, Utah has lost seven of its last eight (2-6 ATS) and two straight (0-2 ATS). Prior to a 107-102 home loss to Boston Monday, the Jazz fell at lowly Detroit 120-116 Saturday night.

Frustration is starting to boil over, especially for 34-year-old guard Raja Bell. He is not happy with the losses, nor is he content with his own contributions. Bell put up a goose-egg in last Friday’s win over Indiana and scored just two points against the Celtics.

“Any time we lose, frustration comes along with that, especially at this point in the season,” Bell told the Salt Lake Tribune. “…I said when I came here I would do whatever people asked me to so. And that hasn’t changed. I don’t have to like it every night. But I will do whatever is asked of me to the best of my ability.”

The Nuggets, on the other hand, have won four of five (5-0 ATS) and are 3-1 since the Carmelo trade. Newly-acquired Danilo Gallinari, though, will miss the next week due to a toe injury.

Trending topics

The Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in their last five overall.

The Jazz are 0-6 ATS in their last six home games.

The over is 9-2 in Denver’s last 11 road games and 5-1 in its last six playing without a days rest. The over is also 11-1 in Utah’s last 12 playing on two days rest.

Head-to-head, the favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings and the over is 8-2 in the last 10 encounters. The Jazz are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four at home against the Nuggets.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bettors' best friend (BBF): Thursday's wagering tips


Injury of interest

Danilo Gallinari, Denver Nuggets: Gallinari is expected to be out of action for at least a week after fracturing his big left toe. The 6-foot-10 sharpshooter put up 30 points against Portland on Friday before going on the shelf. He was putting up 15.9 points per game while he was with the Knicks.

Key trends

NBA: Orlando has played under in nine of its last 11 games overall.

NBA: Denver has covered in five straight games and has played over in nine of its last 11 road games heading into Thursday’s date at Utah.

NHL: Atlanta has won just two of its last 12 games and is 7-22 over its last 29 contests.

NHL: San Jose has won seven straight games but squares off against a Detroit club that has won seven of its last nine on Thursday.

NHL: After reeling off eight consecutive victories earlier this month, the Phoenix Coyotes have dropped each of their last four games.

NCAAB: Indiana has lost six straight games outright, covering just once over that span. The Hoosiers host Wisconsin on Thursday.

NCAAB: Seton Hall has played under in 20 of its last 27 games overall including 11 of its last 12 home games.

NCAAB: Oregon State has covered the number in just four of its last 14 contests.

Number of note

11 – While the Miami Heat have earned their supporters some cash back after their terrible start to the season against the spread, they’re still inconsistent against the spread home. Miami has covered only 11 times in 28 games in front of their hometown fans this season. The Heat host the Orlando Magic on Thursday.

Notes and tips

Washington’s outside shooting let the club down in Sunday’s 80-69 upset loss to Washington State and the Huskies are keeping that in mind heading into Thursday’s big game with UCLA. UW missed 12 of its first 13 trey attempts and coach Lorenzo Romar wants his club to be more careful with shot selection from outside against UCLA’s tough defense. "That's another area we have to get better in, in two days before we play UCLA -- being more patient in turning some (3's) down," Romar said. "If you eliminate the contested ones, you want shoot as many but your percentage will go up - the ol' less-is more theory."

Buffalo Sabres leading scorer Thomas Vanek sat out Wednesday’s practice after taking a shot to the ankle in a win over the New York Rangers. Vanek, who has 52 points on the year, is expected to tape it up and tough it out in a huge matchup against the Carolina Hurricanes on Thursday. The Sabres trail the Hurricanes by two points for the eighth spot in the Eastern Conference.

The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets don’t have much left to play for as they finish out the string in a miserable season - maybe apart from coach Paul Hewitt’s job. The team is just 11-17 straight up as they face they visit a terrible Wake Forest club as a 5-point favorite and word is Hewitt may be let go after the season. "I think as we get to the close of the season (Athletic Director Dan Radakovich) will remain true to his philosophy and will sit down with coach Hewitt and discuss where we go from here,” Associate Athletic Director Wayne Hogan told reporters. “That won't occur before the end of the season.”

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NCAA CBB

Season
Straight Up: 3519-1197 (.746)
ATS: 1579-1607 (.496)
ATS Vary Units: 4489-4580 (.495)
Over/Under: 1556-1584 (.496)
Over/Under Vary Units: 2036-2193 (.481)

America East Conference Tournament
1st Round at Chase Arena, Hartford, CT
Binghamton 67, Umbc 63
Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament
Quarterfinals at University Center, Macon, GA
MERCER 75, Lipscomb 73
Jacksonville 68, North Florida 66
Big South Conference Tournament
Semifinals at Kimbel Arena, Conway, SC
COASTAL CAROLINA 90, Vmi 80
UNC Asheville 77, High Point 68
Missouri Valley Conference Tournament
1st Round at Scottrade Center, St. Louis, MO
Drake vs. Bradley: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Illinois State 59, Southern Illinois 57
Northeast Conference Tournament
Quarterfinals at campus sites
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT STATE 69, St. Francis (N.Y.) 65
LONG ISLAND 85, Saint Francis (Pa.) 70
QUINNIPIAC 72, Mount St. Mary's 57
ROBERT MORRIS 70, Wagner 64
Ohio Valley Conference Tournament
2nd Round at Nashville Municipal Auditorium, Nashville, TN
Austin Peay 72, Southeast Missouri State 63
Tennessee Tech 77, Tennessee-Martin 71
Atlantic Coast Conference
Georgia Tech 72, WAKE FOREST 70
Big East Conference
St. John's 68, SETON HALL 63
Big Ten Conference
Wisconsin 69, INDIANA 59
Big West Conference
Cal State Northridge 77, UC DAVIS 76
PACIFIC 76, Cal State Fullerton 64
Great West Conference
North Dakota 76, HOUSTON BAPTIST 73
South Dakota 86, TEXAS-PAN AMERICAN 79
Utah Valley vs. NEW JERSEY TECH: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
BETHUNE-COOKMAN 69, Florida A&M 55
COPPIN STATE 74, Morgan State 67
Hampton 65, HOWARD 59
North Carolina A&T 78, NORFOLK STATE 76
UMES 68, Delaware State 64
Pacific-10 Conference
ARIZONA 82, Oregon State 65
Oregon 66, ARIZONA STATE 65
WASHINGTON 79, Ucla 73
WASHINGTON STATE 66, Usc 63
Southeastern Conference
Tennessee 69, SOUTH CAROLINA 66
Southwestern Athletic Conference
GRAMBLING STATE 61, Alabama A&M 59
JACKSON STATE 61, Alabama State 57
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE 70, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 62
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M 71, Alcorn State 62
TEXAS SOUTHERN 70, Southern 46
Western Athletic Conference
Hawai'i vs. SAN JOSE STATE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
IDAHO 70, Fresno State 61
Nevada 69, LOUISIANA TECH 66
Non-Conference
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL 71, South Carolina State 66

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NBA

Season
Straight Up: 594-262 (.694)
ATS: 437-449 (.493)
ATS Vary Units: 1064-1099 (.492)
Over/Under: 462-440 (.512)
Over/Under Vary Units: 557-555 (.501)

MIAMI 98, Orlando 93
Denver 107, UTAH 105

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NHL

Season: 284-224 (.559)

BOSTON 3, Tampa Bay 2
N.Y. RANGERS 3, Minnesota 2
PHILADELPHIA 4, Toronto 2
WASHINGTON 3, St. Louis 2
Buffalo vs. CAROLINA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Ottawa vs. ATLANTA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Montreal vs. FLORIDA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Columbus vs. EDMONTON: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
VANCOUVER 3, Nashville 2
LOS ANGELES 3, Phoenix 2
Detroit vs. SAN JOSE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

606- 450 57 % Run On Bonus Plays over 2 1/2 YEARS !

Free winner Thurs St John's -2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Buffalo (-8) Wednesday night.

Thursday it's Georgia Tech. The deficit is 515 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamblers Data

Bonus Play Thursday

Vancouver-Nashville under 5.5

 

[Yankees31]

Justincover

50**Miami Heat-4.5

5*Seton Hall Pirates+3

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Soccer Crusher
Play of the Day:

Almeria + Racing UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Spain

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Basketball Crusher
Play of the Day:

Miami + Orlando OVER 198

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hockey Crusher
Play of the Day:

Carolina -130 over Buffalo

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CAPPERS ACCESS

S. Carolina
St Johns
Jazz

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Southern Illinois -pk over Illinois State

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA Dunkel


Orlando at Miami
The Heat look to take advantage of an Orlando team that is 3-12-2 ATS in its last 17 games as a road underdog. Miami is the pick (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-4 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, MARCH 3

Game 5601-502: Orlando at Miami (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 120.748; Miami 128.187
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 7 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 4 1/2; 197 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-4 1/2); Under

Game 503-504: Denver at Utah (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 117.887; Utah 120.089
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 2; 214
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 3 1/2; 210
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+3 1/2); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA
Write-Up


Thursday, March 3

Hot Teams
-- Orlando won five of last six games, but all those were at home; they've lost three of last four on road.
-- Nuggets won five of last six games (6-0 vs spread).

Cold Teams
-- Miami lost two of last three games; they're 9-17 vs spread in last 26 games as a home favorite.
-- Utah lost seven of its last eight games.

Totals
-- Over is 10-4 in Miami's last fourteen home games.
-- Over is 8-2-1 in Denver's last eleven road games.

Back-to-Back
-- Nuggets are 4-1 vs spread on road if they played at home nite before.